UEFA Nations LeagueMatch of the day by Vesta

Croatia v England: Vesta's forecast

Croatia
Sat 3 Oct
England
23%Croatia win
28%Draw
49%England win

England, just. England win about 49 times in 100. The other 51: a draw (28) or a Croatia win (23).

See the full forecast Published Sat 3 Oct 2026, before kickoff

Saturday 3 October

All matches

UEFA Nations League

8 matches
Finland Albania 36%30%34% Belarus San Marino 98%2%0% Croatia England 23%28%49% Estonia Luxembourg 45%29%26% Iceland Bulgaria 64%23%13% North Macedonia Scotland 28%29%43% Spain Czech Republic 97%3%0% Switzerland Slovenia 78%16%6%

CONCACAF Nations League

1 match
Sint Maarten Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 27%29%44%

Friendly

5 matches
India Brazil 0%2%98% Russia Namibia 89%9%2% Canada Peru 55%26%19% Ivory Coast Cameroon 62%24%14% Tunisia Mali 35%30%35%

The week in numbers

Mon 14 Sep to Sun 20 Sep
Matches61
Goals1923.15 a match, 3.03 in the season
Home, draw, away34-10-17
Clean sheets28

This week in the projections

Model estimate

The biggest moves since Sun 13 Sep 2026, in percentage points.

Numbers of the week

Five leagues